据管道&天然气杂志网1月3日伦敦报道，尽管欧佩克+似乎将同意进一步增加产量，并且对冠状病毒病例上升对需求的影响的担忧持续存在，但受供应紧张和2022年需求进一步复苏的希望所支撑，周一油价上涨至每桶 78美元以上。

预计欧佩克及其盟国（即欧佩克+）周二将同意增产。奥密克戎冠状病毒变种带来了创纪录的病例数，并影响了全球的新年庆祝活动，周日有4000多个航班取消。

格林尼治标准时间14：44，布伦特原油上涨39美分，涨幅0.5%，至每桶78.17美元，此前曾一度上涨至79.05美元。美国西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)下跌25美分，至74.96美元，跌幅0.3%。

石油经纪商PVM的塔玛斯?瓦尔加(Tamas Varga)表示，全球感染率正在上升，一些国家正在实施限制措施，航空旅游等行业受到影响，但投资者的乐观情绪是切实可见的。简言之，2021证明，尽管抗疫胜利之路充满了意想不到的曲折，但我们可以打赢这场战争。

随着奥密克戎变种新冠肺炎病例的记录席卷全国，许多通常会在周一重返课堂的美国学校正在推迟开学日期，忙着对学生和教师进行测试，并准备将重返远程学习作为最后的手段。

去年，在全球从新冠疫情和OPEC+减产中复苏的推动下，布伦特原油上涨了50%，尽管全球感染人数创下历史新高。

一些人认为2022年将增长更多。

包括Giovanni Staunovo在内的瑞银分析师在一份报告中表示，原油和石油产品价格应受益于石油需求将升至2019年水平之上。我们预计，布伦特原油价格将在2022年升至每桶80美元-90美元。

郝芬 译自 管道&天然气杂志网

原文如下：

Oil Rises Above $78 on Optimism about 2022 Outlook

Oil rose above $78 a barrel on Monday, supported by tight supply and hopes of a further demand recovery in 2022, despite OPEC+ looking set to agree to a further output increase and concern persisting about the demand impact of rising coronavirus cases.

OPEC and its allies, or OPEC+, are expected on Tuesday to agree to the output hike. The Omicron coronavirus variant has brought record case counts and dampened New Year festivities worldwide, with more than 4,000 flights cancelled on Sunday.

Brent crude was up 39 cents, or 0.5%, to $78.17 a barrel at 1444 GMT, having earlier risen as high as $79.05. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude slipped 25 cents or 0.3%, to $74.96.

"Infection rates are on the rise globally, restrictions are being introduced in several countries, the air travel sector, amongst others, is suffering, yet investors' optimism is tangible," said Tamas Varga of oil broker PVM.

"In a nutshell, 2021 demonstrated that the war against the coronavirus is a winnable one although the path to victory is paved with unexpected twists and turns."

Many U.S. schools that would normally welcome students back to classrooms on Monday are delaying their start dates, scrambling to test pupils and teachers and preparing, as a last resort, to return to remote learning as record COVID-19 cases from the Omicron variant sweep the country.

Oil gained some support from an outage in Libya. Oil output will be cut by 200,000 barrels per day for a week due to pipeline maintenance.

Last year, Brent rose 50%, spurred by the global recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic and OPEC+ supply cuts, even as infections reached record highs worldwide.

Some see more gains in 2022.

"Crude and oil product prices should benefit from oil demand moving above 2019 levels," said a report from UBS analysts including Giovanni Staunovo. "We expect Brent to rise into a $80–90 range in 2022."