据1月5日彭博社报道，阿联酋预计，在油价反弹支撑，该国经济将在2022年增长4.2%。

该国央行初步数据显示，今年石油行业国内生产总值(gdp)将增长5%，高于去年的2%。非石油国内生产总值预计将与2021年持平。尽管如此，在疫情影响下，经济预测容易受到不确定性影响。

阿联酋12月整体经济PMI为55.6,11月为55.9。

包括阿联酋在内的海湾国家在2020年遭受了双重打击，因为疫情的传播伴随着原油价格下跌，而原油价格是该地区主要收入来源。2021年，随着旅游限制放松和2020年迪拜世博会启动，市场情绪有所好转，吸引了数百万游客。

然而，最近几天阿联酋每日新增病例已从不到一个月前的100例大幅增加至2000多例。

国际货币基金组织(International Monetary Fund)预计，阿联酋经济今年增长率将超过3%，至少在2026年保持在相同水平。

王佳晶 摘译自 彭博社

原文如下：

UAE Sees Oil Rebound Boosting Economic Growth Despite Covid Worries

The United Arab Emirates expects its economy to grow 4.2% in 2022, supported by a rebound in oil. 

Growth in the oil sector’s gross domestic product is set to be at 5% this year, an increase from last year’s 2% contraction, according to preliminary data from the country’s central bank. Non-oil GDP is expected to remain in line with 2021.

Still, “economic projections are susceptible to uncertainties amidst Covid-19 repercussions,” it said in a quarterly economic review. 

UAE Dec. Whole Economy PMI 55.6 vs 55.9 in Nov.

Gulf countries, including the UAE, were dealt with a double whammy in 2020 as the spread of the coronavirus pandemic was accompanied by a drop in crude prices, the main source of income for the region. Last year, sentiment was better as travel restrictions eased and Dubai’s Expo 2020 was launched, attracting millions of visitors. 

The UAE’s daily virus cases have increased to more than 2,000 in recent days, however, a sharp rise from below 100 cases less than a month ago. 

The International Monetary Fund expects the UAE’s economy to grow more than 3% this year and hover around the same levels into 2026 at least.