据阿拉伯贸易网2021年7月2日迪拜报道，来自国际可再生能源机构(Irena)的一份最新分析报告表示，在通往气候安全的道路上加速能源转型，可以使世界经济在未来10年内的增长比目前计划的预期增长高出2.4%。

　　Irena的1.5°C路径(该机构雄心勃勃的目标是到2050年前将全球气温上升限制在1.5°C，并使二氧化碳排放达到零排放)预计到2050年将创造多达1.22亿个与能源相关的就业岗位，是目前5800万个就业岗位的一倍多。

　　Irena在其《世界能源转型展望》报告中指出，仅可再生能源一项就将占全球所有能源工作岗位的三分之一以上，雇用4300万人，支持新冠肺炎疫情结束后的复苏和长期经济增长。

　　报告认为，以可再生能源为基础的能源系统将引发深刻的变革，并将在各个经济体和社会产生影响。

　　资本流动的大幅调整和投资方向的重新定位是使能源与积极的经济和环境轨道保持一致的必要条件。 报告还说，前瞻性的政策可以加速转型，减少不确定性，并确保能源转型的最大效益。

　　到2050年前，能效、可再生能源、终端使用电气化、电网、灵活性、氢和创新将需要巨大的33万亿美元的额外投资。 然而，收益将会远远超过投资的成本。

　　如果把空气污染、人类健康和气候变化的外部性因素考虑在内，回报甚至更高，在能源转型上每花一美元，就会带来价值在2美元到5.5美元之间的收益，到本世纪中叶前收益累计将达到61万亿到164万亿美元。

　　李峻 编译自 阿拉伯贸易网

　　原文如下：

　　Irena sees need for $33trn funds by 2050 for 1.5°C pathway

　　Accelerating energy transitions on a path to climate safety can grow the world’s economy by 2.4 percent over the expected growth of current plans within the next decade, said a new analysis from the International Renewable Energy Agency (Irena).

　　Irena's 1.5°C pathway - (The Agency’s ambitious goals to limit global temperature rise to 1.5°C and bring CO2 emissions to net zero by 2050) foresees the creation of up to 122 million energy-related jobs in 2050, more than double today’s 58 million.

　　Renewable energy alone will account for more than a third of all energy jobs employing 43 million people globally, supporting the post-Covid recovery and long-term economic growth, stated Irena in its World Energy Transitions Outlook.

　　It sees renewables-based energy systems instigating profound changes that will reverberate across economies and societies.

　　Sharp adjustments in capital flows and a reorientation of investments are necessary to align energy with a positive economic and environmental trajectory. Forward-looking policies can accelerate transition, mitigate uncertainties, and ensure maximum benefits of energy transition, it added.

　　By 2050, a whopping $33 trillion of additional investment will be required into efficiency, renewables, end-use electrification, power grids, flexibility, hydrogen and innovations. The benefits, however, greatly exceed the costs of investments.

　　When air pollution, human health and climate change externalities are factored in, the payback is even higher with every dollar spent on the energy transition adding benefits valued at between $2 and $5.5, in cumulative terms between $61 trillion and $164 trillion by the mid-century.